General Revenue Fund Below Estimate
While FY 14 gross collections to the state treasury totaled $11.7 billion and grew $469.3 million, or 4.2 percent, above FY 13, the GRF's share of those collections totaled $5.6 billion, which was just $1.5 million, or .03 percent, above prior year collections and $283.8 million, or 4.8 percent, below the official estimate upon which the Fiscal Year 2014 appropriated state budget was based.
"It was an odd year for state finance that shows the need to continually evaluate fiscal policies," said Secretary of Finance, Administration and Information Technology Preston L. Doerflinger. "The economy is clearly strong and the government is collecting more revenue because of it, but that revenue isn't making it to the budget like it once did."
In FY 2007, the GRF received 55 percent of state tax collections for discretionary spending by elected officials. By the close of FY 2014, just 48 percent of annual collections had gone to the GRF for discretionary spending.
"Last year's GRF collections were basically flat even though total collections grew 4.2 percent," Doerflinger said. "The big reasons were increased costs for off-the-top earmarks and decreased corporate income tax collections. Off-the-top apportionments were up by $102 million while corporate income tax collections were down by $145 million. That combined budgetary hit of $247 million proved significant. Governor Fallin was right to caution against further off-the-top spending last session, and I'm pleased the Legislature acted conscientiously by adding no more off-the-top policies so further study can be done."
Revenues missed the monthly estimate in all but two months during FY 14, which caused the state to nearly approach a revenue failure declaration that would have led to mandatory appropriation reductions for most state agencies. "The problem was less with actual collections and more with forecasting and legislative apportionment of those collections. Gross revenue collections were strong, but the revenue didn't wind up in the GRF at the level forecasted," Doerflinger said. "This is a predicament of government's own creation that can be addressed."
Total FY 14 GRF collections were above prior year collections in three of the four major tax categories. GRF collections from sales tax, a leading consumer confidence indicator, were above prior year collections by $58.5 million, or 3.1 percent. "The state economy was strong enough to produce growth in other tax areas that balanced out those areas facing noneconomic revenue declines," Doerflinger said. "Sales tax revenues grew due to increased consumer spending while favorable oil and gas prices helped boost gross production tax collections. Those are good reflections on our economy, which we know is continuing to expand and beat the nation in many key categories."
FY 14 income tax collections to the GRF were down $173.9 million, or 6.8 percent, from prior year collections, almost entirely due to corporate income tax declines. Corporate income tax collections to the GRF were below prior year collections by $145.1 million, or 32.1 percent, and below the estimate by $175.3 million, or 36.4 percent. "The Tax Commission has received more amended corporate returns that will continue driving corporate tax collections down in the near term, but we're cautiously optimistic that the trend will even out in the long term," Doerflinger said. "Other states are in the same boat. This trend is not isolated to Oklahoma."
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